Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Giroux wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 59.5% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 78.8%
Defensive zone
Giroux 58.0%
Neutral zone
Giroux 69.0%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Giroux
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Giroux
O'Reilly
Last 7: Giroux 5-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
1
Giroux
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Giroux
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (821)
56.6% (1,064)
+1.1%
Power Play
65.5% (235)
60.4% (260)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (160)
54.0% (261)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Giroux is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Giroux shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Giroux
O'Reilly
Home
62.5% (675)
54.9% (801)
Away
57.5% (541)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Giroux
O'Reilly
P1
60.6%
58.0%
P2
59.8%
56.7%
P3
60.9%
55.4%
OT
47.4%
64.7%
Final 5 min
64.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
60.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |