Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Giroux wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 55.6%
Defensive zone
Giroux 87.9%
Neutral zone
Giroux 61.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Giroux
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Giroux
O'Reilly
Last 10: Giroux 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
2
Giroux
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
7
3
Giroux
O'Reilly
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Giroux
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
55.0% (1,084)
+0.5%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
56.8% (303)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
40.3% (149)
+18.3%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Giroux is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Giroux shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Giroux
O'Reilly
Home
59.0% (576)
54.8% (759)
Away
56.9% (576)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Giroux
O'Reilly
P1
57.0%
55.3%
P2
58.1%
51.9%
P3
58.9%
54.2%
OT
52.9%
64.7%
Final 5 min
61.6%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |