Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 52.0%
Defensive zone
Giroux 82.4%
Neutral zone
Giroux 64.8%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Giroux
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Giroux
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
56.2% (983)
+3.4%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
55.5% (254)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
52.0% (102)
+9.4%
On power play, Giroux has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Giroux shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Giroux
O'Reilly
Home
65.7% (461)
56.2% (697)
Away
57.7% (515)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Giroux
O'Reilly
P1
60.7%
54.5%
P2
63.7%
55.5%
P3
60.2%
57.1%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.5%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 3, 2025 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |