Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Giroux wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.7% vs Aho 51.2% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 77.2%
Defensive zone
Giroux 96.3%
Neutral zone
Giroux 92.7%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Giroux
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Giroux
Aho
Last 10: Giroux 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
5
3
Giroux
Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
1
Giroux
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (750)
48.5% (778)
+11.2%
Power Play
62.6% (190)
63.4% (191)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (281)
50.8% (65)
+0.8%
On even strength, Giroux has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Giroux is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Giroux shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Giroux
Aho
Home
59.5% (580)
51.3% (530)
Away
57.3% (641)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Giroux
Aho
P1
56.6%
50.0%
P2
58.0%
51.3%
P3
60.8%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
64.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |