Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Giroux wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs Aho 54.9% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 79.3%
Defensive zone
Giroux 61.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 56.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Giroux
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Giroux
Aho
Last 10: Giroux 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Giroux
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
1
Giroux
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Giroux
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
54.5% (870)
+5.1%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
62.4% (266)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
37.1% (62)
+24.3%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Giroux shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Giroux
Aho
Home
65.7% (461)
53.9% (603)
Away
57.7% (515)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Giroux
Aho
P1
60.7%
54.1%
P2
63.7%
55.0%
P3
60.2%
57.4%
OT
46.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.5%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |