Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Giroux wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Aho 53.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 67.4%
Defensive zone
Giroux 75.3%
Neutral zone
Giroux 55.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Giroux
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Giroux
Aho
Last 10: Giroux 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
5
Giroux
Aho
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
5
2
Giroux
Aho
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
51.2% (785)
+4.3%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
63.8% (213)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
57.9% (57)
+0.7%
On even strength, Giroux has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Giroux is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Giroux shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Giroux
Aho
Home
59.0% (576)
54.9% (548)
Away
56.9% (576)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Giroux
Aho
P1
57.0%
52.8%
P2
58.1%
58.9%
P3
58.9%
50.6%
OT
52.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
61.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:23 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |