Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Aho 50.0% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 82.1%
Defensive zone
Giroux 97.1%
Neutral zone
Giroux 81.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Giroux
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Giroux
Aho
Last 9: Giroux 7-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Giroux
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
0
Giroux
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
49.9% (851)
+10.4%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
53.5% (144)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
43.3% (60)
+22.1%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Giroux shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Giroux
Aho
Home
65.9% (337)
53.2% (554)
Away
59.1% (318)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Giroux
Aho
P1
62.1%
49.1%
P2
64.5%
50.8%
P3
60.9%
49.7%
OT
70.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
60.3%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |