Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Gourde 48.0% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 57.8%
Defensive zone
Giroux 53.7%
Neutral zone
Giroux 54.2%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Giroux
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Giroux
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Giroux
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
48.0% (914)
+7.5%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
54.2% (48)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
43.9% (123)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Giroux is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Giroux shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Giroux
Gourde
Home
59.0% (576)
50.2% (512)
Away
56.9% (576)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Giroux
Gourde
P1
57.0%
50.0%
P2
58.1%
45.3%
P3
58.9%
48.6%
OT
52.9%
20.0%
Final 5 min
61.6%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |