Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs Gourde 49.7% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 59.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 50.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.6%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Giroux
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Giroux
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Giroux
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
51.2% (469)
+8.4%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
42.9% (21)
+26.4%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
37.5% (48)
+23.9%
On power play, Giroux has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Giroux shoots right. Gourde is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Giroux
Gourde
Home
65.7% (461)
47.8% (301)
Away
57.7% (515)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Giroux
Gourde
P1
60.7%
47.3%
P2
63.7%
53.4%
P3
60.2%
48.6%
OT
46.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |