Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Gourde 46.0% (+17.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 88.4%
Defensive zone
Giroux 64.1%
Neutral zone
Giroux 60.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Giroux
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Giroux
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Giroux
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
47.2% (654)
+13.1%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
45.0% (20)
+22.3%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
32.2% (87)
+33.2%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +33.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Giroux shoots right. Gourde is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Giroux
Gourde
Home
65.9% (337)
44.1% (322)
Away
59.1% (318)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Giroux
Gourde
P1
62.1%
42.4%
P2
64.5%
49.8%
P3
60.9%
44.3%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |