Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Giroux wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Gourde 48.2% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 93.1%
Defensive zone
Giroux 84.3%
Neutral zone
Giroux 84.1%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Giroux
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
10
(25 meetings)
15
10
Giroux
Gourde
Last 10: Giroux 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
6
3
Giroux
Gourde
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
5
4
Giroux
Gourde
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
3
Giroux
Gourde
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
48.4% (4,954)
+7.4%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
57.4% (376)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
39.9% (554)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Giroux shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Giroux
Gourde
Home
59.2% (10,252)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Giroux
Gourde
P1
57.5%
49.9%
P2
56.2%
47.4%
P3
57.3%
47.5%
OT
51.4%
37.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |