Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 34.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 44.5% vs Tavares 57.2% (-18.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 56.5%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 66.0%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 70.8%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Sillinger
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Sillinger
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Sillinger
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Sillinger
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (99)
58.0% (914)
-20.6%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
57.0% (235)
+43.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
57.9% (19)
-7.9%
On power play, Sillinger has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Sillinger is 34.3% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Sillinger shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Tavares
Home
35.2% (54)
57.8% (614)
Away
43.6% (55)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Sillinger
Tavares
P1
45.5%
58.0%
P2
28.6%
56.9%
P3
38.5%
58.4%
Final 5 min
37.5%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | John Tavares |