Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). Sillinger wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.8% vs Tavares 54.4% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Sillinger 89.9%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 83.9%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 85.2%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Sillinger
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
16
(23 meetings)
7
16
Sillinger
Tavares
Last 10: Sillinger 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
12
Sillinger
Tavares
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
4
1
Sillinger
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Sillinger
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (2,801)
54.0% (16,108)
-7.9%
Power Play
50.0% (180)
56.5% (4,283)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (225)
50.6% (620)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Sillinger is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,097).
Sillinger shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Tavares
Home
46.5% (1,620)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
44.8% (1,586)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Sillinger
Tavares
P1
45.6%
55.0%
P2
45.5%
54.1%
P3
45.8%
54.1%
OT
47.8%
55.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
45.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:21 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |