Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.7% vs Tavares 57.7% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 68.4%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 61.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 52.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Sillinger
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Sillinger
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Sillinger
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (535)
57.7% (998)
-11.2%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
60.5% (271)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
56.4% (39)
-12.9%
On power play, Tavares has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Sillinger is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Sillinger shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Tavares
Home
48.7% (339)
59.7% (610)
Away
43.4% (311)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Sillinger
Tavares
P1
46.3%
57.2%
P2
47.9%
58.5%
P3
44.0%
59.4%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |