Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Tavares 58.7% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 80.3%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 78.9%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 78.9%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Sillinger
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Sillinger
Tavares
Last 8: Sillinger 1-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
6
Sillinger
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Sillinger
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
59.2% (1,035)
-11.8%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
60.0% (310)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
42.9% (7)
-6.5%
On power play, Tavares has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Sillinger is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Sillinger shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Tavares
Home
45.9% (488)
57.5% (668)
Away
46.7% (484)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Sillinger
Tavares
P1
45.0%
58.0%
P2
44.5%
60.1%
P3
49.5%
61.0%
OT
45.5%
27.8%
Final 5 min
49.8%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |