Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Sillinger wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Tavares 57.7% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 67.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 54.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Sillinger
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Sillinger
Tavares
Last 8: Sillinger 4-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
3
Sillinger
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sillinger
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
57.5% (914)
-12.9%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
60.5% (309)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
59.1% (22)
-40.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Sillinger is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Sillinger shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Tavares
Home
45.5% (365)
61.0% (661)
Away
42.9% (331)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Sillinger
Tavares
P1
42.5%
58.6%
P2
43.9%
57.8%
P3
46.3%
58.4%
Final 5 min
45.2%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:21 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |