Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.9% vs Dowd 53.3% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 73.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 91.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 79.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Sillinger
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Sillinger
Dowd
Last 6: Sillinger 4-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Sillinger
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
1
Sillinger
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (694)
55.4% (771)
-8.7%
Power Play
53.8% (52)
57.1% (7)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
30.3% (33)
45.5% (165)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Sillinger is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (297).
Sillinger shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Dowd
Home
47.9% (374)
58.2% (462)
Away
45.2% (405)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Sillinger
Dowd
P1
48.5%
55.6%
P2
47.8%
50.5%
P3
42.8%
53.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:20 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |