Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.8% vs Dowd 50.7% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Sillinger leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowd 58.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 76.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 78.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Sillinger
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Sillinger
Dowd
Last 10: Sillinger 7-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
8
1
Sillinger
Dowd
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
6
Sillinger
Dowd
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
4
1
Sillinger
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (2,801)
52.4% (6,009)
-6.3%
Power Play
50.0% (180)
56.1% (164)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (225)
44.1% (1,635)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Sillinger is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,109).
Sillinger shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Dowd
Home
46.5% (1,620)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
44.8% (1,586)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Sillinger
Dowd
P1
45.6%
51.7%
P2
45.5%
50.4%
P3
45.8%
50.3%
OT
47.8%
45.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
45.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | OT | 00:56 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 12, 2024 | OT | 00:34 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 21, 2023 | OT | 02:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:20 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |