Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Dowd 48.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 86.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 90.9%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 53.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Sillinger
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Sillinger
Dowd
Last 5: Sillinger 2-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Sillinger
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
49.2% (778)
-1.8%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
58.3% (12)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
44.0% (234)
-7.6%
On power play, Dowd has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Sillinger is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Sillinger shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Dowd
Home
45.9% (488)
46.3% (492)
Away
46.7% (484)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Sillinger
Dowd
P1
45.0%
49.1%
P2
44.5%
48.2%
P3
49.5%
46.9%
OT
45.5%
71.4%
Final 5 min
49.8%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | OT | 02:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |