Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Dowd 50.7% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 79.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 94.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 64.0%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Sillinger
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Sillinger
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Sillinger
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
55.2% (625)
-10.6%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
57.1% (7)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
38.2% (220)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Sillinger is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Sillinger shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Dowd
Home
45.5% (365)
53.7% (445)
Away
42.9% (331)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Sillinger
Dowd
P1
42.5%
48.8%
P2
43.9%
49.3%
P3
46.3%
54.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |