Scouting Report
Cole Sillinger holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cates on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Cates 40.4% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Cates leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cates 51.5%
Defensive zone
Cates 82.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 63.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Sillinger
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Sillinger
Cates
Last 10: Sillinger 4-6 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
2
Sillinger
Cates
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
2
Sillinger
Cates
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
3
2
Sillinger
Cates
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
40.4% (841)
+4.2%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
42.4% (66)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
32.7% (147)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Sillinger is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Sillinger shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Cates
Home
45.5% (365)
38.2% (566)
Away
42.9% (331)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Sillinger
Cates
P1
42.5%
40.5%
P2
43.9%
42.4%
P3
46.3%
35.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:42 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Noah Cates |