Scouting Report
Cole Sillinger holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cates on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.7% vs Cates 45.1% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 51.7%
Defensive zone
Cates 57.2%
Neutral zone
Cates 56.8%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Sillinger
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Sillinger
Cates
Last 8: Sillinger 3-5 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
1
Sillinger
Cates
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
3
Sillinger
Cates
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sillinger
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (535)
46.7% (912)
-0.2%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
33.9% (56)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
35.0% (137)
+8.5%
On power play, Sillinger has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Sillinger is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Sillinger shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Cates
Home
48.7% (339)
46.1% (521)
Away
43.4% (311)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Sillinger
Cates
P1
46.3%
48.0%
P2
47.9%
42.3%
P3
44.0%
44.3%
OT
50.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 21, 2024 | OT | 02:43 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 21, 2024 | OT | 00:19 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |