Scouting Report
Cole Sillinger holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Cates 45.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 51.5%
Defensive zone
Cates 52.5%
Neutral zone
Cates 53.0%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Sillinger
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Sillinger
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Sillinger
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Sillinger
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
44.3% (271)
+3.1%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
77.8% (18)
-33.5%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
31.7% (41)
+4.7%
On power play, Cates has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Sillinger is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Sillinger shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Cates
Home
45.9% (488)
52.0% (148)
Away
46.7% (484)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Sillinger
Cates
P1
45.0%
42.7%
P2
44.5%
42.9%
P3
49.5%
48.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.3%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Noah Cates |