Scouting Report
Cole Sillinger holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cates on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Sillinger wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.8% vs Cates 43.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Cates leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Sillinger 50.8%
Defensive zone
Cates 67.5%
Neutral zone
Cates 58.2%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Sillinger
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
Sillinger
Cates
Last 10: Sillinger 4-6 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
2
4
Sillinger
Cates
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
6
Sillinger
Cates
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
5
3
Sillinger
Cates
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (2,801)
44.1% (2,742)
+2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (180)
43.0% (242)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (225)
34.9% (373)
+2.0%
On power play, Sillinger has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Sillinger is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,097).
Sillinger shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,284).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Cates
Home
46.5% (1,620)
43.8% (1,663)
Away
44.8% (1,586)
42.1% (1,694)
By Period
Sillinger
Cates
P1
45.6%
44.5%
P2
45.5%
43.5%
P3
45.8%
41.2%
OT
47.8%
29.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
45.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 21, 2024 | OT | 02:43 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 21, 2024 | OT | 00:19 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:42 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |