Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.9% vs Carrick 49.5% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 54.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 82.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 69.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Sillinger
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sillinger
Carrick
Last 5: Sillinger 4-1 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Sillinger
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (694)
48.9% (352)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.8% (52)
81.3% (16)
-27.5%
Penalty Kill
30.3% (33)
42.2% (45)
-11.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Sillinger is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (297).
Sillinger shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Carrick
Home
47.9% (374)
46.9% (192)
Away
45.2% (405)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Sillinger
Carrick
P1
48.5%
48.1%
P2
47.8%
50.0%
P3
42.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:28 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 11:21 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 07:00 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |