Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Sillinger wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Carrick 49.5% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 63.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 86.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 56.3%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Sillinger
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sillinger
Carrick
Last 5: Sillinger 3-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
3
2
Sillinger
Carrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
49.2% (307)
-4.6%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
66.7% (6)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
48.2% (56)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Sillinger is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Sillinger shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Carrick
Home
45.5% (365)
50.3% (175)
Away
42.9% (331)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Sillinger
Carrick
P1
42.5%
41.0%
P2
43.9%
51.2%
P3
46.3%
55.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
42.0%▬
42.0%
44.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |