Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Carrick 53.0% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 73.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 78.4%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 53.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Sillinger
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Sillinger
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Sillinger
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
53.9% (521)
-6.5%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
57.1% (35)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
51.5% (229)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Sillinger is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Sillinger shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Carrick
Home
45.9% (488)
52.7% (408)
Away
46.7% (484)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Sillinger
Carrick
P1
45.0%
51.4%
P2
44.5%
56.6%
P3
49.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
49.8%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |