Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.7% vs Carrick 53.7% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 71.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 63.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 53.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Sillinger
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Sillinger
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Sillinger
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (535)
53.8% (654)
-7.3%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
0.0% (2)
+46.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
63.9% (36)
-20.4%
On power play, Sillinger has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Sillinger is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Sillinger shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Carrick
Home
48.7% (339)
50.0% (328)
Away
43.4% (311)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Sillinger
Carrick
P1
46.3%
56.7%
P2
47.9%
51.1%
P3
44.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
49.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:01 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |