Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 49.4% vs Larkin 52.1% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 53.0%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 65.8%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 52.0%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Blackwell
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Blackwell
Larkin
Last 5: Blackwell 2-3 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Blackwell
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Blackwell
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Blackwell
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (127)
51.8% (903)
-2.2%
Power Play
76.9% (13)
56.0% (225)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
47.4% (76)
-12.9%
On power play, Blackwell has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Blackwell is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (128).
Blackwell shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Larkin
Home
53.9% (76)
55.6% (662)
Away
45.2% (93)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Blackwell
Larkin
P1
43.4%
49.9%
P2
50.0%
52.7%
P3
53.8%
53.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
49.1%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |