Colin Blackwell vs Dylan Larkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Blackwell wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.7% vs Larkin 52.7% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 50.6%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 82.4%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 67.9%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Blackwell
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Blackwell
Larkin
Last 10: Blackwell 3-7 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
5
Blackwell
Larkin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
5
3
Blackwell
Larkin
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Blackwell
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (698)
51.7% (9,019)
-2.6%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
58.5% (2,125)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (260)
50.2% (1,122)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Blackwell is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Blackwell shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Larkin
Home
45.8% (480)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
49.0% (516)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Blackwell
Larkin
P1
47.1%
52.7%
P2
47.7%
53.1%
P3
47.6%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
52.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 19:22 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |