Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 48.2% vs Larkin 55.0% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 65.1%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 54.7%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 65.3%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Blackwell
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Blackwell
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
Blackwell
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (52)
55.9% (943)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
46.2% (106)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Blackwell is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (65).
Blackwell shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Larkin
Home
41.9% (31)
56.0% (654)
Away
48.7% (39)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Blackwell
Larkin
P1
47.1%
54.4%
P2
50.0%
55.9%
P3
41.4%
55.2%
Final 5 min
57.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
45.7%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |