Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.7% vs Larkin 52.4% (-10.0%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 76.6%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 75.5%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 55.8%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Blackwell
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (172)
51.7% (878)
-3.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
58.5% (246)
-58.5%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (82)
48.2% (166)
-16.5%
On power play, Larkin has a +58.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Blackwell is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Blackwell shoots right. Larkin is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Larkin
Home
43.8% (144)
52.4% (647)
Away
41.1% (112)
52.7% (643)
By Period
Blackwell
Larkin
P1
45.3%
52.2%
P2
36.1%
53.1%
P3
46.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
42.6%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%