Scouting Report
Colin Blackwell holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Blackwell on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 49.4% vs Hayes 43.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 71.5%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 84.0%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 66.5%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Blackwell
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Blackwell
Hayes
Last 5: Blackwell 4-1 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
3
1
Blackwell
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (127)
42.7% (478)
+6.9%
Power Play
76.9% (13)
42.9% (98)
+34.0%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
45.2% (31)
-10.7%
On power play, Blackwell has a +34.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Blackwell is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (128).
Blackwell shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Hayes
Home
53.9% (76)
43.5% (232)
Away
45.2% (93)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Blackwell
Hayes
P1
43.4%
40.1%
P2
50.0%
44.8%
P3
53.8%
42.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
49.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |