Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.4%). Blackwell wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 50.0% vs Hayes 49.5% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 64.9%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 59.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 57.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Blackwell
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (30)
48.5% (557)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
58.3% (12)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Blackwell is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Blackwell shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Hayes
Home
57.9% (19)
50.8% (313)
Away
41.2% (17)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Blackwell
Hayes
P1
45.5%
52.3%
P2
57.1%
47.7%
P3
45.5%
48.4%
Final 5 min
62.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▲
42.0%
50.0%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%