Scouting Report
Colin Blackwell holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.7% vs Hayes 42.7% (+6.8%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 77.8%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 83.2%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 54.0%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Blackwell
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (172)
31.9% (91)
+16.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
64.3% (14)
-64.3%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (82)
0.0% (1)
+31.7%
On power play, Hayes has a +64.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Blackwell is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Blackwell shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Hayes
Home
43.8% (144)
30.6% (49)
Away
41.1% (112)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Blackwell
Hayes
P1
45.3%
22.9%
P2
36.1%
40.0%
P3
46.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
42.6%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%