Scouting Report
Colin Blackwell holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.3% vs Hayes 44.1% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 73.2%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 80.0%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 54.7%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Blackwell
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (123)
33.3% (81)
+13.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
64.3% (14)
-64.3%
On power play, Hayes has a +64.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Blackwell is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Blackwell shoots right. Hayes is 32.6% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Hayes
Home
42.0% (100)
30.6% (49)
Away
40.7% (91)
45.7% (46)
By Period
Blackwell
Hayes
P1
48.5%
24.2%
P2
31.3%
43.8%
P3
44.1%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.1%
31.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▲
42.0%
41.4%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
37.9%