Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 48.2% vs Hayes 56.3% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 65.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 81.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 70.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Blackwell
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Blackwell
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (52)
56.6% (724)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
65.7% (35)
-32.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Blackwell is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (65).
Blackwell shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Hayes
Home
41.9% (31)
58.0% (405)
Away
48.7% (39)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Blackwell
Hayes
P1
47.1%
54.7%
P2
50.0%
55.7%
P3
41.4%
60.2%
Final 5 min
57.1%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
45.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |