Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 61.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.3% vs Dowd 49.5% (-8.1%)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 59.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 54.5%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 60.6%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Blackwell
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (123)
53.4% (485)
-7.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
0.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (66)
39.8% (186)
-6.5%
On even strength, Dowd has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Blackwell is 61.5% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Blackwell shoots right. Dowd is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Dowd
Home
42.0% (100)
48.5% (307)
Away
40.7% (91)
50.3% (366)
By Period
Blackwell
Dowd
P1
48.5%
50.7%
P2
31.3%
49.1%
P3
44.1%
49.6%
Final 5 min
49.1%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▲
42.0%
41.4%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%