Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 41.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 49.4% vs Dowd 53.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 78.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 77.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 58.9%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Blackwell
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Blackwell
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Blackwell
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (127)
55.4% (771)
-5.8%
Power Play
76.9% (13)
57.1% (7)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
45.5% (165)
-11.0%
On power play, Blackwell has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Blackwell is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Blackwell shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Dowd
Home
53.9% (76)
58.2% (462)
Away
45.2% (93)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Blackwell
Dowd
P1
43.4%
55.6%
P2
50.0%
50.5%
P3
53.8%
53.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
49.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |