Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 50.0% vs Dowd 50.7% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 82.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 69.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 60.3%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Blackwell
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (30)
55.2% (625)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
38.2% (220)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Blackwell is 63.6% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Blackwell shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Dowd
Home
57.9% (19)
53.7% (445)
Away
41.2% (17)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Blackwell
Dowd
P1
45.5%
48.8%
P2
57.1%
49.3%
P3
45.5%
54.0%
Final 5 min
62.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%