Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.7% vs Dowd 49.1% (-6.4%)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 58.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 57.1%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 61.7%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Blackwell
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (172)
51.7% (644)
-3.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
0.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (82)
41.6% (221)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Blackwell is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Blackwell shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Dowd
Home
43.8% (144)
48.6% (451)
Away
41.1% (112)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Blackwell
Dowd
P1
45.3%
49.1%
P2
36.1%
47.3%
P3
46.0%
51.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
42.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%