Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 48.2% vs Dowd 48.3% (-2.4%)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 82.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 78.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Blackwell
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (52)
49.2% (778)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
44.0% (234)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Blackwell is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Blackwell shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Dowd
Home
41.9% (31)
46.3% (492)
Away
48.7% (39)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Blackwell
Dowd
P1
47.1%
49.1%
P2
50.0%
48.2%
P3
41.4%
46.9%
Final 5 min
57.1%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
45.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%