Colton Sissons vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 52.4% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 56.8%
Defensive zone
Sissons 81.8%
Neutral zone
Sissons 66.7%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Sissons
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sissons
MacKinnon
Last 5: Sissons 3-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Sissons
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
1
Sissons
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (829)
45.5% (1,190)
+9.1%
Power Play
55.6% (99)
56.4% (94)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (248)
40.0% (30)
+4.4%
On even strength, Sissons has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Sissons is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Sissons shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Sissons
MacKinnon
Home
51.5% (575)
47.8% (670)
Away
53.6% (601)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Sissons
MacKinnon
P1
53.0%
45.3%
P2
52.4%
48.5%
P3
52.0%
45.0%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
52.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:46 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |