Colton Sissons vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 62.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.5% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 89.6%
Defensive zone
Sissons 62.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 67.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 89.6%
10.4%
89.6%
Sissons
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Sissons
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Sissons
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
50.0% (992)
+7.0%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
64.9% (148)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (118)
34.4% (32)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Sissons is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Sissons shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Sissons
MacKinnon
Home
52.9% (263)
53.3% (591)
Away
59.7% (300)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Sissons
MacKinnon
P1
56.3%
49.9%
P2
57.8%
53.2%
P3
55.4%
50.8%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |