Colton Sissons vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sissons wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 54.1% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 61.9%
Defensive zone
Sissons 85.9%
Neutral zone
Sissons 62.7%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Sissons
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Sissons
MacKinnon
Last 9: Sissons 5-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
4
Sissons
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (454)
49.2% (1,266)
+7.6%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
54.9% (193)
-24.5%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (147)
49.1% (55)
+3.3%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Sissons is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Sissons shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Sissons
MacKinnon
Home
54.8% (301)
50.9% (740)
Away
54.8% (323)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Sissons
MacKinnon
P1
53.0%
50.9%
P2
49.3%
51.8%
P3
61.4%
47.1%
OT
60.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
54.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:15 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |