Colton Sissons vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 22 meetings). Sissons wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.8% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Sissons leads 40-27 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Sissons 51.8%
Defensive zone
Sissons 94.2%
Neutral zone
Sissons 85.9%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Sissons
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
27
(67 meetings)
40
27
Sissons
MacKinnon
Last 10: Sissons 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
7
14
Sissons
MacKinnon
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
16
6
Sissons
MacKinnon
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
17
7
Sissons
MacKinnon
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (6,070)
46.1% (11,218)
+9.3%
Power Play
55.4% (455)
53.3% (1,412)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,889)
42.8% (502)
+5.7%
On even strength, Sissons has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Sissons is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,453).
Sissons shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
Home / Away
Sissons
MacKinnon
Home
54.1% (4,241)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
53.7% (4,173)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Sissons
MacKinnon
P1
53.8%
47.4%
P2
53.2%
46.6%
P3
54.7%
46.1%
OT
49.1%
48.4%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:15 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:46 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |