Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Sissons wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.2% vs Hertl 52.3% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Sissons leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 59.4%
Defensive zone
Sissons 85.3%
Neutral zone
Sissons 63.8%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Sissons
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Sissons
Hertl
Last 10: Sissons 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
4
Sissons
Hertl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
1
Sissons
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (923)
51.6% (1,084)
+5.4%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
61.0% (246)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (325)
44.1% (136)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sissons is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (863).
Sissons shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Sissons
Hertl
Home
55.9% (680)
55.2% (696)
Away
55.4% (612)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Sissons
Hertl
P1
54.2%
55.4%
P2
55.0%
54.8%
P3
58.4%
48.9%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
55.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 15:43 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 19:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 16:16 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 10:58 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |