Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 17 meetings). Sissons wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.2% vs Hertl 54.5% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 21-8 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 84.6%
Defensive zone
Sissons 83.8%
Neutral zone
Sissons 54.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Sissons
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
21
(29 meetings)
8
21
Sissons
Hertl
Last 10: Sissons 2-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
16
Sissons
Hertl
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
5
2
Sissons
Hertl
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Sissons
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (713)
54.1% (1,117)
+3.0%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
59.8% (296)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (351)
34.4% (32)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sissons is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Sissons shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Sissons
Hertl
Home
54.8% (569)
54.3% (709)
Away
52.1% (539)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Sissons
Hertl
P1
56.1%
51.6%
P2
49.6%
53.6%
P3
54.8%
58.6%
OT
66.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 8, 2022 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 8, 2022 | 3 | 08:51 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 8, 2022 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 8, 2022 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 8, 2022 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 8, 2022 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 8, 2022 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 7, 2022 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |