Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 54.1% vs Hertl 55.4% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 81.9%
Defensive zone
Sissons 82.3%
Neutral zone
Sissons 53.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 81.9%
18.1%
81.9%
Sissons
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Sissons
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Sissons
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (454)
54.1% (717)
+2.7%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
61.9% (210)
-31.5%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (147)
58.1% (31)
-5.7%
On power play, Hertl has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sissons is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (497).
Sissons shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Sissons
Hertl
Home
54.8% (301)
58.1% (492)
Away
54.8% (323)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Sissons
Hertl
P1
53.0%
57.1%
P2
49.3%
54.0%
P3
61.4%
56.6%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
54.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |