Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 52.4% vs Hertl 56.8% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 61.6%
Defensive zone
Sissons 71.1%
Neutral zone
Sissons 54.3%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Sissons
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Sissons
Hertl
Last 8: Sissons 3-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Sissons
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
1
Sissons
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (829)
57.0% (718)
-2.4%
Power Play
55.6% (99)
64.9% (188)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (248)
44.2% (77)
+0.2%
On power play, Hertl has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sissons is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Sissons shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Sissons
Hertl
Home
51.5% (575)
59.2% (463)
Away
53.6% (601)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Sissons
Hertl
P1
53.0%
56.3%
P2
52.4%
55.4%
P3
52.0%
60.5%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
56.0%▬
55.0%
52.6%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:54 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |