Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Hughes 40.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 70.4%
Defensive zone
Bedard 75.8%
Neutral zone
Bedard 58.4%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Bedard
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bedard
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
35.6% (281)
+3.3%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
50.0% (36)
-6.2%
On power play, Hughes has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Bedard shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Bedard
Hughes
Home
40.2% (246)
38.4% (198)
Away
37.8% (286)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Bedard
Hughes
P1
39.9%
44.3%
P2
38.5%
34.2%
P3
39.0%
34.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2024 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |